Teresa Nogueira Pinto

Sudan is risking increasing isolation - despite the country’s potentially valuable resources. Its President, Omar al-Bashir, not only faces war and unrest on several fronts, but he is wanted by the International Criminal Court on genocide charges. Sudan faces a difficult future and it will take more than macroeconomic reforms to promote growth and make Sudan an attractive and secure destination for foreign investors. read


Persecution of Christians around the globe is rising, a special report on a dangerous issue

Lord Alton

Persecution of Christians around the globe is rising, a special report on a dangerous issue

Lord Alton

The Islamic State terrorist attack, in which almost 40 holidaymakers were killed in Tunisia, accompanied by atrocities in France and Kuwait, highlights again the murderous outrages the group is willing to commit. Christians have been in the firing line of the IS terrorists and other terror groups in the Middle East and the rest of the globe. read


Dr Carole Nakhle

Middle East and North Africa oil producers are facing a new price reality

Dr Carole Nakhle

There is no shortage of news in the media about the negative impact of lower oil prices on the economies of the major Middle East and North Africa region (MENA) oil producers. The dependence on oil makes these economies vulnerable to fluctuations in oil price. But while the oil price is back to ‘normal’, it is not going to be business as usual for these countries. read


Geopolitics
Latin America exerts more power through New Regionalism

Dr Joseph S. Tulchin

Latin America exerts more power through New Regionalism

Dr Joseph S. Tulchin

Latin American countries are beginning to develop a stronger sense of regional identity and with it a collective power. Several new regional organisations are emerging to portray this collective identity and to develop interests in trade and in common standards of governance, human rights and democracy. read


Economics
EU tax harmonisation plan could drive away entrepreneurs

Professor Enrico Colombatto

EU tax harmonisation plan could drive away entrepreneurs

Professor Enrico Colombatto

An attempt by the European Commission to harmonise tax policy across all European Union countries could scare off business based in Europe. It could also deter entrepreneurs and long-term investment as Brussels bureaucrats crack down on international companies who look to benefit from the different tax regimes in various EU countries. read


Rising wages threaten China’s vital manufacturing sector

Powerful macroeconomic and demographic trends are threatening China’s manufacturing dominance, with potentially dangerous implications for the nation’s continuing economic rise. International demand appears to be weakening and many foreign firms are shifting their overseas business to areas with cheaper labour. The young, working age population is beginning to decline in numbers. GIS guest expert Brendan O’Reilly examines the developments. read


Dr Joseph S. Tulchin

China’s slowing economy could reduce FDI in Latin America

Dr Joseph S. Tulchin

Headlines of major infrastructure investments in Latin America and the Caribbean sub region by the Chinese government can, in many cases be taken with a pinch of salt. Many of these ‘deals’ are in exchange for commodities and many never come to fruition after the fanfare of announcing them. read


Dr Emmanuel Martin

Good news about growth could be bad for French economy’s prospects

Dr Emmanuel Martin

News that the French economy recorded positive growth in the first quarter of 2015 fails to reveal the full picture and could actually damage the longer-term perspective. The government, thanks to its partner Germany, has continued to delay imposing the full suite of necessary reforms. One quarter’s figures could actually delay further reforms. read


Defence & Security
 Corruption, the biggest threat to China's military power

Corruption, the biggest threat to China's military power

A flurry of reports have recently highlighted the rapid modernisation of China’s military and its growing capabilities - both long range and in cyberspace. But many analysts point out that the Chinese army still lags behind other major military powers in many aspects. Rampant corruption, particularly, paints a grim picture, says GIS guest expert Dr Nicola Casarini. Corruption is so deep-seated that, if left unresolved, it is the biggest threat to China’s military power. read


Cutting US defence spending raises stakes in world’s hotspots

Some argue America is spending too much on defence. Others say it is not enough. But US defence spending cuts mean its state of ‘readiness’ is compromised. This has meant US allies feel their security is threatened as the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and Europe become geopolitical hotspots as America could be perceived to be over-stretched in its ability to control aggressor nations, writes GIS guest expert Dakota Wood. read


Professor Dr Amatzia Baram

ISIS: Its origins, strategy and prospects

Professor Dr Amatzia Baram

ISIS has expanded its influence in Syria and Iraq and risen with speed to terrifying power in its efforts to resurrect an Islamic state across the entire Fertile Crescent and into Africa and Asia. But the strategy of ISIS, one of the wealthiest and most violent jihadist groups in history, has led to the start of its undoing. Its aspirations to rule are becoming increasingly difficult in the face of the US-Iraq-Kurdish-Iran campaign against it. read


Luke Coffey

Without change, Nato’s future looks bleak

Luke Coffey

There is an increasing belief inside Nato that the Alliance needs to refocus on territorial defence in the North Atlantic region as it views a resurgent Russia on its eastern border, and the militant Islamist movement ISIS on its southern border. But Nato is only as strong as its members. The wars in Afghanistan, Libya, and the air campaign against ISIS have shown the shortcomings of European military capability. The intergovernmental security alliance faces some major institutional challenges in the coming years. Nato is long overdue for a new strategic concept. read


Energy
Germany’s energy transition is at crossroads as it faces phasing out coal

Dr Frank Umbach

Germany’s energy transition is at crossroads as it faces phasing out coal

Dr Frank Umbach

Environmental pressure to stop using coal-fired power stations and the use of lignite coal in Germany’s electricity generation will damage industry and lose thousands of jobs. It will mean Germany importing more electricity from coal-fired and nuclear power plants from abroad to avoid power cuts. Switching from coal to gas may cut emissions in Germany, but will actually increase global greenhouse gas emissions when shipping and transport are considered. read


Dr Frank Umbach

Coal ban could backfire on West and impact developing economies

Dr Frank Umbach

An international movement to stop using all fossil fuels is gathering pace particularly in Europe and the United States. But coal-fired power stations are an essential part of the mix to provide energy to large parts of the globe and play an active part in their economic and social development. read


Dr Carole Nakhle

Lower oil prices: an opportunity for oil and gas companies

Dr Carole Nakhle

The global drop in oil prices has analysts mulling over the shrinking profitability of the oil industry. But it is not all doom and gloom. On the contrary, companies may be in a stronger position today to negotiate better deals with host governments, compared with when prices were high. read


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Professor Colleen Graffy

US tax law has unintended global consequences free access
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